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Decided to Crunch the Number for my rarest Ace in the hole pull

rednekdashie
rednekdashie Member Posts: 2
in General Discussions

About 2 months back I got this pull of a Skeleton Key with a weaved ring and an uncommon addon

rarest ace pull possible backup.jpg


Due to me rocking plunderer's the key is a 10% drop, to get a purple addon is 7% chance, there are 4 purple addons so there was a 25% chance it would be the weaved ring, then getting a second addon is a 50% chance, and getting an uncommon is a 31% chance.

That factors out to a .002% chance. If we take into account that it was specifically prayer beads (33% chance) it comes out to .0008% chance or 1 in 125,000. Please correct me if I did my math wrong, but what this tells me is that I will never ever get this combo again.