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I refuse to believe there is a 4% chance of self unhooking

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Comments

  • Kasaki
    Kasaki Member Posts: 155

    The devs secretly sit there with a button and laugh at all the dumbasses trying to unhook theirselves and then when you don't even want to, or are getting facecamped it will work 100 percent of the time lol

  • Watery
    Watery Member Posts: 1,167

    1 in 20 is just a fraction to represent 1/20, which is four percent.

  • It's a 4% chance, not a 1 in 25, there's a massive difference between the 2.

    4% chance means that for every attempt, you get another 4% chance, it doesn't increase the probability or the chance that your next hook could be successful, it stays the same.

    A 1 in 25 means that if you do it 25 times, you WILL escape at least once.

  • Fibijean
    Fibijean Member Posts: 8,342

    I'm confident people know how fractions work. What they're saying is that that maths is incorrect. A 4% chance is 1 in 25, not 1 in 20.

    You're contradicting yourself. You're right that failing one RNG doesn't actually increase your chances of succeeding the next, but it's for that very reason that a 1/25 chance does not guarantee success within 25 attempts. That's not how probability works.

  • Rex_Huin
    Rex_Huin Member Posts: 1,208

    If you flip a coin 99 times and its heads every time the 100th flip is still 50/50 heads or tails.

    Also yes I made a mistake in my original post - as others said its a 1 in 25 chance.

    But I still don't believe the unhooking odds!

  • ZerLukas
    ZerLukas Member Posts: 294

    4% means it's 4 of 100 or 1 of 25.

    0,5% would be 1 of 200 and it clearly isn't that rare.

    It actually isn't hard to test, all that's needed is 3 people in KYF and several hours of time.